The
Federal Reserve Has Destroyed the Meaning of Saving
by Eric
Englund
For
those who understand the dangers of central banking, it
should not come as a surprise that the Federal Reserve's
systematic debasement of the dollar has also led to the
debasement of our language (in this case, the very meaning
of saving). In turn, the debasement of our language has
led to dangerous financial behavior on the part of the
common man. What is at risk here is more than our savings
and capital formation. Nothing less than liberty is at
stake here. Let me explain.
In
a free-market society (which would include a 100% gold
dollar), a natural tendency would be for the prices of
goods and services to decrease over time. The beauty of
a gold dollar is that, conversely, its purchasing power
would increase over time. Therefore, setting aside part
of one's money income (as savings) would be an attractive
proposition for two key reasons. First, as mentioned above,
the purchasing power of money would increase over time,
thus rewarding savings. Secondly, a bank would pay the
saver interest which is an additional reward for saving.
Clearly, having a 100% gold dollar would provide an economic
environment conducive to saving.
Since
the establishment of the Federal Reserve, in 1913, the
U.S. dollar has lost over 95% of its purchasing power.
Hence, it is not surprising that the Federal Reserve's
reckless inflation has led to the common man's expectation
for the dollar to lose value over time. As the Federal
Reserve intensifies the rate at which it creates money
out of thin air, the common man's behavior (in the sphere
of personal finance) tends to change for the worse. He
is led to speculate in response to a constantly depreciating
currency.
With
the expectation for money to lose value over time, there
is a tendency for people to seek higher rates of return
than offered by passbook savings accounts, certificates
of deposit, and other savings vehicles. During particularly
acute periods of money creation by the Federal Reserve
(in the 1920s and the 1990s for example), the common man
turned to the stock market in search of higher rates of
return. However, it is clear that the common man does not understand
that his behavior had changed from being a saver to becoming
a speculator. Herein lies the key as to how the debasement
of our currency has led to the debasement of our language
(i.e. eliminating the word "speculation" from
Wall Street's vernacular and ultimately replacing it with "saving").
As
a quick aside, it is crucial to understand that investing
is spending, and thus the opposite of saving. Therefore,
speculating falls into the category of spending as well
(perhaps reckless spending would be a better description).
The
corruption of what it means to save occurred incrementally.
The first step was to eliminate the distinction between "investment" and "speculation" in
common stocks. In Benjamin Graham and David L. Dodd's classic
textbook Security Analysis, the authors point out
that: "An investment operation is one which, upon
thorough analysis, promises safety of principal and an
adequate return. Operations not meeting these requirements
are speculative." Most Americans are economically
illiterate (thanks largely to public schools) and most
certainly cannot perform basic security analysis such as
reading (and understanding) a company's balance sheet and
income statement (which a true investor should be able
to do). However, Wall Street knows that people do not want
to be called speculators even though most individual investors
really are. On this point, Benjamin Graham stated (in his
wonderful book The Intelligent Investor): "...in
the very easy language of Wall Street, everyone who buys
or sells a security has become an investor regardless of
what he buys, or for what purpose, or at what price, or
whether for cash or on margin." Indeed, Benjamin Graham
was on to something here. The corruption of our language
can lead to reckless behavior on the part of the common
man (i.e. speculating in the name of investing). In the
same book, Mr. Graham conveyed the following warning: "The
distinction between investment and speculation has always
been a useful one and its disappearance is a cause for
concern. We have often said that Wall Street as an institution
would be well advised to reinstate this distinction and
to emphasize it in all its dealings with the public. Otherwise
the stock exchanges may some day be blamed for heavy losses,
which those who suffered them had not been properly warned
against." Unfortunately for Wall Street and the ill-educated
common man, Graham and Dodd's wise words have fallen upon
deaf ears.
With
the advent of the Individual Retirement Account (IRA),
the 401K, the Keogh Plan, and Thrift Incentive Plans, came
a further corruption of our language. All of these aforementioned
investment (speculation) vehicles have been broadly mislabeled
as retirement savings accounts. In talking to acquaintances,
colleagues, friends, and family, it is disturbing to consistently
find that people think that simply putting aside a portion
of current income, to purchase common stocks and mutual
funds (for a retirement savings account), is the same thing
as saving. I know individuals who have purchased high-tech
mutual funds, aggressive growth funds (and specific stocks
such as Amazon.com and Cisco Systems) for their retirement
savings accounts. To a person, each one believed that foregoing
current consumption to speculate (by Graham and Dodd's
accurate definition) was equivalent to saving. Heck, the
meaning of saving has been so debased that some people
even believe that paying down mortgage debt is a form of
saving. Indeed, Wall Street and its federal watchdog (the
Securities and Exchange Commission) absolutely refuse to
use the word speculation in its proper context. Instead,
we now call speculation "saving". Thus, the debasement
of the incredibly important word (saving) has become complete
(save for the adherents of Austrian economics).
How
did the problem of speculation, in internet stocks, tech
stocks, and other common stocks, reach such massive proportions?
We do know that the Federal Reserve created massive amounts
of money after the Long Term Capital Management fiasco
(in 1998), and inflated further (in early 1999) in anticipation
of a Y2K disaster (thus providing the liquidity for rampant
stock speculation). Moreover, as should be clear by now,
the meaning of the word saving has been corrupted to the
point that sheer speculation has become the path to safety,
comfort, and personal welfare in the present, and in one's
retirement years. So, once again, how has the problem of speculation,
in common stocks, occurred on such a massive scale? Ludwig
von Mises provides an answer in has magnum opus Human
Action. He states (on page 46 of The
Scholar's Edition):
Common
man does not speculate about the great problems. With regard
to them he relies upon other people's authority, he behaves
as "every decent fellow must behave," he is like
a sheep in the herd. It is precisely this intellectual
inertia that characterizes a man as a common man. Yet the
common man does choose. He chooses to adopt traditional
patterns or patterns adopted by other people because he
is convinced that this procedure is best fitted to achieve
his own welfare. And he is ready to change his ideology
and consequently his mode of action whenever he becomes
convinced that this would better serve his own interests.
Undoubtedly,
millions of Americans followed the herd into the stock
market seeking the "selfish" interest of financial
security (convinced that his money was safe as long as
he was in the stock market for the long term). The common
man has been duped, by our corrupted language, into speculating
in the name of saving. Indeed, an economic environment,
dominated by an ever-depreciating currency (thanks to the
Federal Reserve), can lead to the corruption of our language
and to risky financial behavior on the part of the common
man.
With
the economy clearly weakening and the fiat money, jet-fuelled
ride on the stock market plummeting back to earth, Americans
are becoming quite concerned about their "savings".
To quell these concerns, brokers (such as Charles Schwab)
are running ad campaigns to soothe brokerage customers'
nerves with the irresponsible platitude that your money
is safe, in the stock market, as long as you are
in it for the long term (sound familiar?). Just relax,
Alan Greenspan's seven interest rate cuts in 2001 will
come to the rescue. All will be well.
As
the three major stock indices (the Dow Jones Industrials,
the S&P 500, and the NASDAQ) regress back to their
respective means, much further financial pain lies ahead
for Americans. With such pain inevitably comes calls for
government action. Perhaps the Federal Reserve will incrementally
cut short-term interest rates to 0% (just look at Japan).
Perhaps large brokerage houses will have to be bailed out
at taxpayer expense (does this smell like a justification
for tax hikes?). In the event the economy busts into a
deep depression, be assured that another "new deal" type
of scheme will be hatched in Washington, D.C. All of this
will come at the expense of further eroding our liberty.
So
here is a quick summary. In the pernicious economic environment
created by the Federal Reserve's continuous debasement
of our money, it is clear that a simple, yet crucial, word
such as "saving" can literally lose its meaning.
In turn, it is apparent that Americans have speculated
in the name of saving. This can only lead to economic disaster,
more government intervention, and eventually, loss of liberty.
F.A.
Hayek understood the extreme danger of corrupting our language.
In The
Fatal Conceit: The Errors of Socialism, Hayek dedicated
an entire chapter (titled "Our Poisoned Language")
to this topic. He opened this chapter with a chilling quote
from Confucius: "When words lose their meaning people
will lose their liberty." Debasing the very meaning
of saving may prove to be a crippling blow to our free-market
society and, thus, our liberty. For this we can lay the
blame at the doorstep of the Federal Reserve and its inflationary
policies.
September
7, 2001 |